Monty Hall, except Omega replaced the car with a million dollars if it predicts you won’t switch doors

then you open the door and BOOM it’s a fuckin’ trolley

Omega Hall Trolley Problem

Before the Problem begins, Omega uses godlike predictive power to find out whether you are a Switcher or a Stayer.
Omega presents you with three doors.
Two of the doors, if picked, will cause a trolley is to run over five people.
Behind the third door, there is another trolley.
-If Omega predicted you are a Switcher, it will run over ten people.
-If Omega predicted you are a Stayer, it will run over one person.

Having picked a door, Omega now reveals that one of the doors you didn’t pick would have been a Five-Person door.

Should you switch or stay?

this is horrible and I love it


switch: (-10 * 2/3) + (-5 * 1/3) = -8.333…
stay: (-5 * 2/3) + (-1 * 1/3) = -3.666…

Somebody fell into my trap!

In this variation it is 50%, not 2/3rds.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in: Logo

You are commenting using your account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )


Connecting to %s